down deep there are places absolutely.
All of this snow will push the avy danger UP for sure.
While we have a lot of base now, its NOT great condition wise.
bridgertetonavalanchecenter.org
BACKCOUNTRY AVALANCHE FORECAST
TETONS
AVALANCHE WATCH
ISSUED Thursday, January 11, 2024 - 8:00AM
EXPIRES Friday, January 12, 2024 - 8:00AM
Dangerous
avalanche conditions will continue today above 7500’. Recent snow sits above a very weak
layer where large
avalanches could be
triggered remotely from gentle slopes above, below, or to the side of steep terrain. Due to the unpredictable nature of these avalanches, cautious route-finding to avoid steep slopes will be necessary.
Multiple avalanches were reported yesterday. Click here to view all the observations in the Tetons highlighting unstable snow .
((
NOTE: its HARD to get above 9,000ft for riding in the IP/West yellowstone area))
Historically dry conditions in December formed a widespread weak
layer across all elevations and most
aspects that is now buried 1-2.5 feet below the snow surface. The
slab quality of recent snow above this weak
layer is primed for
avalanches with its
upside down character due to increased temperatures and wind during active loading. Numerous
avalanches were reported yesterday.
Triggering a large avalanche on this weak layer will remain likely today in middle and upper elevations. These
avalanches can be
triggered remotely and on unsuspecting treed slopes. Don't let this catch you off guard. Areas with the highest likelihood of
triggering will be on wind
loaded slopes where
slabs depths could be closer to 3 feet. Look for obvious signs of instability such as cracking and
collapsing as these are clear indications of unstable snow.
Deeper weak
layers formed in November are buried around 3 feet above hard slabs. The potential for
avalanches triggered on the weak
layer mentioned above could
step down to these deeper
layers causing an even larger, destructive avalanche.
FORECAST DISCUSSION
A Deadly Recipe
Today we are transitioning from a wind
slab to
persistent slab problem. Wind
slabs will still be out there, but they will fail on the 1/4 persistent weak layer. This weak
layer consists of well developed
facets and surface hoar. The character of this weak
layer combined with a firm, cohesive
slab has created a deadly recipe for avalanches. Everyone (including myself) has been waiting patiently for the snow to fall. We have all been longing for some good powder riding. Don’t let this desire inhibit your decision making today. There are plenty of clear indications that the recent snow is very unstable. Today is a great day to enjoy that deep powder in lower angle terrain and don’t let that powder brain lure you into those steeper slopes.
Thank you to everyone who submitted observations yesterday.