Oh ya !!!
I think we will have a signal by 31 October and a very high level of how the El Nino will behave by 25 November.
El NINO >>> OH YA !!!
- Thread starter donbrown
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Oh ya !!!
I think we will have a signal by 31 October and a very high level of how the El Nino will behave by 25 November.
Don...What is the prediction for temps during this season?? (where and what altitudes??)
That's the big question, we know moisture is very very possible with El Nino. But i've heard a lot of discrepancy for temps in the forecast. All i know is we are due!!! Bring the moisture and cold temps!!!!!
Forecasting Temps are below norm for south and above for north BUT will be nice riding if we get multiple single storm dumpage.
graphs
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...ason/13_seasonal_outlooks/color/churchill.php
I think the temps are calculated at sea level. Subtract 3-5 F for every 1000 feet
in English
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/fxus07.html
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Other graphs .... contrasting EL Nino to El NINA and "normal" seasons
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/us_impacts/ustp_impacts.shtml#DVC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/us_impacts/ustp_impacts.shtml#DVC
As low pressure waves hit US / Canada area SNOW is anticipated around Whistler BC 3- 6 Sept.
Not sure of complete storm track a week away since my "normal" sources are for California
California will have freezing nighttime temps same period of time way up high 7000 feet.
Not sure of complete storm track a week away since my "normal" sources are for California
California will have freezing nighttime temps same period of time way up high 7000 feet.
This was linked from American Avalanche Institute and Backcountry Access......
https://opensnow.com/news/post/el-nino-part-2-how-much-snow-fell-during-previous-el-nino-winters
I'm hoping for average snow in central Idaho at this point.
https://opensnow.com/news/post/el-nino-part-2-how-much-snow-fell-during-previous-el-nino-winters
I'm hoping for average snow in central Idaho at this point.
We will see !!!
Sure would be nice to see a tropical storm off Hawaii get pulled by a low pressure from the Gulf of Alaska !
Overall over the past 8 years I have seen the snow level creep up several hundred feet here in Utah.
Sure you will get storms that have 9k snow levels and some as low as 4k feet.
My overall hunch with el nino is that you will have intermitten snow pack between 6-7500k feet. Snow will pile up and melt, but 8000 and up will be solid snow all winter. Turn the corner at 8000 feet and winter snows could be double the depth of 7500 feet.
Typically our riding areas do well with el nino, but its heavy sierra cement type snow. hopefully we get some cold pulled down from up north for that cold smoke pow pow!
Sure you will get storms that have 9k snow levels and some as low as 4k feet.
My overall hunch with el nino is that you will have intermitten snow pack between 6-7500k feet. Snow will pile up and melt, but 8000 and up will be solid snow all winter. Turn the corner at 8000 feet and winter snows could be double the depth of 7500 feet.
Typically our riding areas do well with el nino, but its heavy sierra cement type snow. hopefully we get some cold pulled down from up north for that cold smoke pow pow!
B
BigFish BC
Well-known member
allot of nothwestern b.c got snow today well below tree line
been awhile since i have seen snow that low this early.
Amen brother !
Looks like Tropical Storm IGNACIO may end up in the GULF of Alaska !
And will eventually make it to BC or the states
Not sure if a low pressure will cause the snow level to be low enough to sled but its gonna get wet !
El Nino has generated 3 more storms .... be nice to see some spin up with Ignacio .... or better yet roll up Baja with a wet TS storm forming a cold wet low from the GULF of Alaska ! Okay just a dream !
And will eventually make it to BC or the states
Not sure if a low pressure will cause the snow level to be low enough to sled but its gonna get wet !
El Nino has generated 3 more storms .... be nice to see some spin up with Ignacio .... or better yet roll up Baja with a wet TS storm forming a cold wet low from the GULF of Alaska ! Okay just a dream !
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good read on El Niño
http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/category/uncategorized
Key Points regarding El Niño and the coming California winter
A powerful El Niño event in the tropical Pacific is virtually certain, and the present event has a good shot at becoming the strongest on record.A wetter and warmer than average winter is likely for most or all of California in 2015-2016, and there may be an increased risk of flooding in many regions.
Partial and potentially substantial alleviation of drought severity in California is likely, though even the wettest winter on record would be insufficient to erase California’s multi-year water deficits.
Even though heavy snow may fall at the highest elevations, it’s not clear that conditions will be consistently cold enough for substantial snowpack accumulation at middle elevations in California.
Record-warm North Pacific brings increased risk that East/Central Pacific hurricane remnants will affect California between now and the end of October.
Managing hydrological impacts of simultaneously-occurring record El Niño and record drought in California will be challenging.
http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/category/uncategorized
Key Points regarding El Niño and the coming California winter
A powerful El Niño event in the tropical Pacific is virtually certain, and the present event has a good shot at becoming the strongest on record.A wetter and warmer than average winter is likely for most or all of California in 2015-2016, and there may be an increased risk of flooding in many regions.
Partial and potentially substantial alleviation of drought severity in California is likely, though even the wettest winter on record would be insufficient to erase California’s multi-year water deficits.
Even though heavy snow may fall at the highest elevations, it’s not clear that conditions will be consistently cold enough for substantial snowpack accumulation at middle elevations in California.
Record-warm North Pacific brings increased risk that East/Central Pacific hurricane remnants will affect California between now and the end of October.
Managing hydrological impacts of simultaneously-occurring record El Niño and record drought in California will be challenging.
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I rode in the Sawtooth mountains last season !
The local sled club ran a run but we just rode south of town.
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