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El NINO >>> OH YA !!!

full on winter in Colorado right now

1512274_695256597245931_3923687721066913583_n.jpg


10479339_846376718770972_821023011997059995_n.jpg


and more on its way!

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You know, we haven't heard too much or seen many cool videos from Tudizzle this year and now he has to rub this in our faces. What a nice guy!!! :face-icon-small-hap

HAHA

Well darn it all if Youtube became a bit of a pain in the arse with videos so I have been loading most of our content straight to FB. I can't figure out how to get those links to play here.

I think you don't even have to be a member of FB to view the videos on our business page. check it

https://www.facebook.com/pages/Tudizzle-Films/177251475713115?sk=videos




if a non FB member could check the link and let me know if you can watch the clips that would be cool..thanks!
 
HAHA

Well darn it all if Youtube became a bit of a pain in the arse with videos so I have been loading most of our content straight to FB. I can't figure out how to get those links to play here.

I think you don't even have to be a member of FB to view the videos on our business page. check it

https://www.facebook.com/pages/Tudizzle-Films/177251475713115?sk=videos




if a non FB member could check the link and let me know if you can watch the clips that would be cool..thanks!




All Video checked works in full screen for me a non facebook member. Some on the FB page
 
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...y/ensodisc.pdf

90%chance to last thru summer.

80% chance to last thru entire year.




I don't think El Nino was the cause of the poor snow years off the coast. High pressure systems have built up over the ocean off the west coast the last several years. High pressure keeps the jet stream from coming south bringing with it cold artic air to combine with the warmer moist air rom the equator

http://www.weather.com/science/weather-explainers/news/weird-weather-warm-blob


this is the blob that im talking about, they've kinda said its its a strange anomaly that has created drier winters in the west be it el nino or la nina. get rid of this thing and we might have a shot at some winters
 
ya jus google west blob west coast and theres a few articles about it. been there for almost 2 years messin up winter for the whole west coast
 
The El Nino taking hold across the Pacific strengthened, according to Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology, citing indexes of sea-surfaces temperatures that showed the same trend for the first time since the event in 1997-1998.
All five NINO indexes, averaged over the past four weeks, exceeded plus 1 degree Celsius, the bureau said in its fortnightly update on Tuesday. That’s the first time this has occurred since the 1997-1998 El Nino, the bureau said.
Australia this month joined the U.S. and Japan in declaring that the first El Nino since 2010 had begun. The 1997-1998 event was the strongest on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The weather patterns can bake parts of Asia, hurting crops from rice to palm oil, while crimping the hurricane season in the Atlantic and bringing more rain across the southern U.S.
“The area of warm anomalies in the tropical Pacific now more resembles a classical El Nino pattern,” the bureau said. “Sea-surface temperatures will remain well above El Nino thresholds at least into the southern hemisphere spring.”
The Australian bureau warned earlier this month the latest event will probably be substantial. The patterns are powered by a warming of the tropical Pacific, and sea-surface and sub-surface temperatures are among the data tracked by forecasters along with air pressure, winds and cloudiness.
 
The El Nino taking hold across the Pacific strengthened, according to Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology, citing indexes of sea-surfaces temperatures that showed the same trend for the first time since the event in 1997-1998.
All five NINO indexes, averaged over the past four weeks, exceeded plus 1 degree Celsius, the bureau said in its fortnightly update on Tuesday. That’s the first time this has occurred since the 1997-1998 El Nino, the bureau said.
Australia this month joined the U.S. and Japan in declaring that the first El Nino since 2010 had begun. The 1997-1998 event was the strongest on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The weather patterns can bake parts of Asia, hurting crops from rice to palm oil, while crimping the hurricane season in the Atlantic and bringing more rain across the southern U.S.
“The area of warm anomalies in the tropical Pacific now more resembles a classical El Nino pattern,” the bureau said. “Sea-surface temperatures will remain well above El Nino thresholds at least into the southern hemisphere spring.”
The Australian bureau warned earlier this month the latest event will probably be substantial. The patterns are powered by a warming of the tropical Pacific, and sea-surface and sub-surface temperatures are among the data tracked by forecasters along with air pressure, winds and cloudiness.

Local followers of El Nino here in SOCAL are saying they are very confident SOCAL will have a very wet winter BUT they are not so sure for NORCAL until better confirmation in JUL-AUG

The norm here is about 15 inches rain for the whole year 95% of it DEC-MAR . As late about a 1/3 the norm levels. One El Nino it rained over a foot in less than a week and over 15 feet of snow in the local mountains at 6000 feet.
 
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I headed south in about January if it does what a lot of the scientists in Australia
Are predicting . The El Niño of 97 98 . My aunt lives in Tahoe . The sierras will be
Amazing ! Can't wait :face-icon-small-win
 
Hello Snow Lovers ,

Looks like the year is shaping up to be an epic El Nino . Nasa Scientists
do not think this one is going to fizzl;e out like last year .
The cool thing is every year there has been a el nino the following year
the whole entire west has gotten buried with storm after storm .
I cant wait to see what happens .
 
We all know we are definitely overdue for a wet winter... I haven't called into work for a "snow day" in at least 3 years
 
Not sure what a strong El Nino will do to us in central Idaho. A few of our snowiest winters have occurred with a El Nino, but ALL of our dry winters have been El Nino years. Looking at old snotel data, the strongest El Nino on record that occurred in 97-98 gave us a 85% average snowpack. Not the greatest but not the end of the world either. I guess we will see where the moisture nozzle gets pointed this winter..aka the jet stream.
 
Not sure what a strong El Nino will do to us in central Idaho. A few of our snowiest winters have occurred with a El Nino, but ALL of our dry winters have been El Nino years. Looking at old snotel data, the strongest El Nino on record that occurred in 97-98 gave us a 85% average snowpack. Not the greatest but not the end of the world either. I guess we will see where the moisture nozzle gets pointed this winter..aka the jet stream.
Interesting. Brundage posted something last fall that said 97-98 was like top 4 snowiest of all time? What snotel were u looking at. Really hoping this winter isnt a bust after last winter
 
wasnt last year elnino also and turned out to be a winter that almost didnt happen, raining in febuary at alpine wy
 
also, i have never seen a long range forecast,., seasonal outlook pan out. best they can do is get the next 4 days close.. if some one has any data to say otherwise. i would love to see some
 
wasnt last year elnino also and turned out to be a winter that almost didnt happen, raining in febuary at alpine wy[/QUOTE


Wyoming along with Utah can be a wild card in an El Niño year depending how far north the jet stream extends. Colorado and the sierra's typically have big winters. For Wyoming, Montana and idaho more often then not an El Niño is not good news but there have been years where those winters have been better then average. For us here in north idaho they hit our winter forecast spot on last year. The forecast was no winter!!!
 
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