*****BAKER SHOOTOUT*****
- Thread starter richyrich
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C
CascadeMK
Active member
Mt. Baker Forcast
Winter Storm Watch
Today: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tonight: Snow. Low around 20. South wind between 6 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.
Thursday: Snow showers. High near 28. South wind 13 to 18 mph becoming west. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.
Thursday Night: Snow showers. Low around 14. West wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
Friday: Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 22. West southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13.
Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 28.
Saturday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.
Love it!!!
Winter Storm Watch
Today: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tonight: Snow. Low around 20. South wind between 6 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.
Thursday: Snow showers. High near 28. South wind 13 to 18 mph becoming west. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.
Thursday Night: Snow showers. Low around 14. West wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
Friday: Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 22. West southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13.
Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 28.
Saturday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.
Love it!!!
R
Randonnee
ACCOUNT CLOSED
Folks can check here for the daily avalanche hazard forecast:
http://www.nwac.us/forecast/avalanche/current/zone/5/
Backcountry Avalanche Forecast
WA Cascades near and west of crest - north of Stevens Pass
Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center Seattle Washington
1219 PM PDT Wed Apr 07 2010
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates out of the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
Weather Service ID WAZ513-518-519-019-042-501-502-ORZ011
Wednesday Thursday
NONE NONE WARNING WARNING
6am-Noon Noon-6pm 6am-Noon Noon-6pm
Danger Trend Slightly Increasing Slightly Increasing Strongly Increasing Strongly Increasing
7000' 2 3 4 4
6000' 2 3 4 4
5000' 2 3 4 4
4000' 2 3 4 4
3000' 2 2 3 3
Notes: This represents a regional scale avalanche forecast for each elevation and time period shown. For complete information see the detailed avalanche forecast.
Jump to Danger Scale Legend at bottom of forecast
Forecast
…AVALANCHE WARNING FOR THURSDAY…
Wednesday: Avalanche danger becoming considerable above 4000 feet and moderate below. Avalanche danger greatly increasing Wednesday night.
Thursday: High avalanche danger above 4000 feet and considerable below. Avalanche danger may slightly decrease Thursday night.
Snowpack Analysis
A strong series of fronts began to move across the Northwest starting at the end of March. Total snowfall for the past week ranges from 4-8 feet near and west of the crest with probably about half as much east of the crest.
The fronts have been accompanied by strong winds and storm wind and soft slab instability. There have also been periods of sun induced slab and loose snow avalanches between the storms. There are reports of cracking and natural or triggered slab avalanches on the FOAC Exchange and Turns All Year for the Mt Baker area and near Crystal for last weekend. A close call for last weekend is described at Mission Ridge in a Recent Accident Summary on the NWAC web page.
There have also been reports of deep more stable powder on more sheltered slopes, slopes at lower elevations, and slopes with more trees.
Detailed Forecasts
Wednesday
A warm front should begin to spread southwest ridge top winds and precipitation to the Northwest on Wednesday. The gradually increasing winds and rain or snow should spread from the Olympics and north Cascades Wednesday morning to the central and south Cascades by Wednesday afternoon with warmer temperatures.
This weather should begin to build new small initially shallow wind or soft slab layers on lee slopes. This should be mainly north to east slopes at higher elevations. A slight warming trend Wednesday should favor this development. Use more cautious route finding and more conservative decision making if you decide to travel in the back country later Wednesday.
The next strengthening front should cross the Northwest on Wednesday night. This should be accompanied by strong southwest winds and increasing moderate to heavy snowfall. This should build new areas of deeper potential slab layers on lee slopes. This should continue mainly on north to east slopes at higher elevations.
Thursday
Strong west ridge top winds and moderate to heavy snow showers should be seen most of Thursday. The snowfall should generally be heaviest near and west of the crest and in the north to central Cascades. Convergence effects should also favor that area. Rapidly increasing snow depths should favor instability and deeper slab development on lee slopes. This should slightly change to northeast to southeast slopes at higher elevations. Back country travel in avalanche terrain not recommended on Thursday.
West ridge top winds and snow showers may slightly decrease Thursday night. The avalanche danger may slightly decrease Thursday night. But storm slab layers are likely to linger on lee slopes into Friday. It should be safer to go for the late season powder in the ski areas on Thursday and Friday.
http://www.nwac.us/forecast/avalanche/current/zone/5/
Backcountry Avalanche Forecast
WA Cascades near and west of crest - north of Stevens Pass
Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center Seattle Washington
1219 PM PDT Wed Apr 07 2010
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates out of the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
Weather Service ID WAZ513-518-519-019-042-501-502-ORZ011
Wednesday Thursday
NONE NONE WARNING WARNING
6am-Noon Noon-6pm 6am-Noon Noon-6pm
Danger Trend Slightly Increasing Slightly Increasing Strongly Increasing Strongly Increasing
7000' 2 3 4 4
6000' 2 3 4 4
5000' 2 3 4 4
4000' 2 3 4 4
3000' 2 2 3 3
Notes: This represents a regional scale avalanche forecast for each elevation and time period shown. For complete information see the detailed avalanche forecast.
Jump to Danger Scale Legend at bottom of forecast
Forecast
…AVALANCHE WARNING FOR THURSDAY…
Wednesday: Avalanche danger becoming considerable above 4000 feet and moderate below. Avalanche danger greatly increasing Wednesday night.
Thursday: High avalanche danger above 4000 feet and considerable below. Avalanche danger may slightly decrease Thursday night.
Snowpack Analysis
A strong series of fronts began to move across the Northwest starting at the end of March. Total snowfall for the past week ranges from 4-8 feet near and west of the crest with probably about half as much east of the crest.
The fronts have been accompanied by strong winds and storm wind and soft slab instability. There have also been periods of sun induced slab and loose snow avalanches between the storms. There are reports of cracking and natural or triggered slab avalanches on the FOAC Exchange and Turns All Year for the Mt Baker area and near Crystal for last weekend. A close call for last weekend is described at Mission Ridge in a Recent Accident Summary on the NWAC web page.
There have also been reports of deep more stable powder on more sheltered slopes, slopes at lower elevations, and slopes with more trees.
Detailed Forecasts
Wednesday
A warm front should begin to spread southwest ridge top winds and precipitation to the Northwest on Wednesday. The gradually increasing winds and rain or snow should spread from the Olympics and north Cascades Wednesday morning to the central and south Cascades by Wednesday afternoon with warmer temperatures.
This weather should begin to build new small initially shallow wind or soft slab layers on lee slopes. This should be mainly north to east slopes at higher elevations. A slight warming trend Wednesday should favor this development. Use more cautious route finding and more conservative decision making if you decide to travel in the back country later Wednesday.
The next strengthening front should cross the Northwest on Wednesday night. This should be accompanied by strong southwest winds and increasing moderate to heavy snowfall. This should build new areas of deeper potential slab layers on lee slopes. This should continue mainly on north to east slopes at higher elevations.
Thursday
Strong west ridge top winds and moderate to heavy snow showers should be seen most of Thursday. The snowfall should generally be heaviest near and west of the crest and in the north to central Cascades. Convergence effects should also favor that area. Rapidly increasing snow depths should favor instability and deeper slab development on lee slopes. This should slightly change to northeast to southeast slopes at higher elevations. Back country travel in avalanche terrain not recommended on Thursday.
West ridge top winds and snow showers may slightly decrease Thursday night. The avalanche danger may slightly decrease Thursday night. But storm slab layers are likely to linger on lee slopes into Friday. It should be safer to go for the late season powder in the ski areas on Thursday and Friday.
Deep Diver
I am with what you are saying--but saying that this club(NWGC) are inexperianced--WOW--Alot of these people were riding sleds up here before you were born. I think that they all go way out of their way to put this on for us--you should see all the work that goes into this--ALOT.
As far as Avy Danger signs-Rated at 4 for thursday already--I think it is a great idea--but why should the club supply them?-They have plenty on their plate-depending on where the camp is--I will try and put up a sign for information.
This is a Barbeque put on by them to help raise funds for the NWGC and SAWS. There is no scheduled racing--it is no different than any other saturday on the hill as far as riding goes--except Randy is going to have it groomed and try to build a sled run on the side of the road to as low as possible on the road to help so u do not have to ride gravel--as long as people do not drive in to it or turn around and drive through it.
I will have a trailer at base camp to haul sleds up to the snow/turnaround and back at the end of the day to help out on saturday--4 place open for quick load and unloads--will pick you up at your rig and drop you off at your rig--come find me at base camp to set it up. From the looks of it--I may not have to do this with the 1000' snow level friday with snow starting tonight and not stopping till friday night.
The big thing here---Everyone needs to be patient and be curtious!!! This is for fun one and all.
H20SKE...
I am with what you are saying--but saying that this club(NWGC) are inexperianced--WOW--Alot of these people were riding sleds up here before you were born. I think that they all go way out of their way to put this on for us--you should see all the work that goes into this--ALOT.
As far as Avy Danger signs-Rated at 4 for thursday already--I think it is a great idea--but why should the club supply them?-They have plenty on their plate-depending on where the camp is--I will try and put up a sign for information.
This is a Barbeque put on by them to help raise funds for the NWGC and SAWS. There is no scheduled racing--it is no different than any other saturday on the hill as far as riding goes--except Randy is going to have it groomed and try to build a sled run on the side of the road to as low as possible on the road to help so u do not have to ride gravel--as long as people do not drive in to it or turn around and drive through it.
I will have a trailer at base camp to haul sleds up to the snow/turnaround and back at the end of the day to help out on saturday--4 place open for quick load and unloads--will pick you up at your rig and drop you off at your rig--come find me at base camp to set it up. From the looks of it--I may not have to do this with the 1000' snow level friday with snow starting tonight and not stopping till friday night.
The big thing here---Everyone needs to be patient and be curtious!!! This is for fun one and all.
H20SKE...
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Just stay home. You should run for an elected position in the club. They always need someone smarter than them to run things.
Ok Paul you made 3 posts in the other Baker Shoot Out thread after #75..... What are ya keeping secret from us basic members?
parking
parking in lot #3. 4to5 inch of new at 7:30 am to day.
parking in lot #3. 4to5 inch of new at 7:30 am to day.
Well does that mean you will be on the hill Saturday Ruffy?
If I can get out of the Home I will have to look you up and you CAN BUY ME A METAMUCIL. Just no politics on the mountain. Swampy
If I can get out of the Home I will have to look you up and you CAN BUY ME A METAMUCIL. Just no politics on the mountain. Swampy
I thought that is why you made me buy snow shoes?
He's too busy begging for help digging to talk politics!!!
Heard a rumor that the shoot out was called off due to avalanche conditions. Is this true?????
Again, this is NOT what he said. Part of the club's functions are to bring new people into the sport, is it not? DD was only making the comment, that SOME members of the club MIGHT not be very experienced, and that having it be a CLUB event / function, that it might give a false sense of security to THOSE INEXPERIENCED sledders. You know, club function = family friendly event = safe event. Even though that is not always the case. DD and Brandy seemed to be interested in the POSSIBILITY and making sure that the word is out there about this issue.
Who knew a bunch of men were so sensitive?
C
CoyoteGirl
Well-known member
D
deepdiver
Well-known member
Exactly..thanks RR... Was more family club in general statement, definitly more concerned about the families and young children than anything else.. Had nothing to do with NWGC at all. If it did I would have clearly said it. We as snowmobilers just need to keep it safe and dont need another Revy incident.
Ruffrider...slap Rob upside his head next time you see him for me, just for good measure as there must be some reason he deserves it!:>) Whenever you want to come over this way give me a shout. I promise I wont ask you to explain the difference between incident and reflected waves along with tropospheric scatter after you have been handicapped with hops and water flavored beverages! :>)
Now Brandy F. be nice with the men jokes. :>)))))
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Just wanted to say a big thank you to the club members and volunteers that are helping to make this event what it is. I rode on Friday (4-9) and there were many members and volunteers already there assisting and directing parking. The groomer had also done a great job in preparing the road for all types of riders. I have to work the weekend and will not get the chance to stay for the shootout, but from what I saw, it looked like the event was well thought out and should be a lot of fun. Thanks again to everyone involved.
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