this weather is a kick in the b@lls
- Thread starter sandorsnow
- Start date
Oh boy do I hope so!!!!
And I am with GP if it doesn't we are going to kick you!!
Come on down ... 84 degrees to day. Went to the beach !!!
Oh boy do I hope so!!!!
And I am with GP if it doesn't we are going to kick you!!
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
813 PM MST MON JAN 11 2010
.UPDATE... weather.gov
UPDATED FORECAST FOR MIN TEMPS...MAINLY ACROSS UPPER SNAKE PLAIN
WHERE TEMPS AT 03Z ARE ALREADY NEAR FORECAST LOWS. SKIES ARE
STAYING CLEAR LONGER THAN ANTICIPATED...THUS THE PROBLEM WITH
FORECAST LOWS. MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO SKY CONDITIONS AS WELL. NOT
ANTICIPATING FOG AT THIS TIME SINCE THERE IS NO INDICATION OF IT
FORMING AS OF YET.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 213 PM MST MON JAN 11 2010/
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. UPPER RIDGE GRADUALLY
BREAKING DOWN AND AXIS PUSHING EAST PER WV IMAGERY LOOPS. PACIFIC
TROUGH MAKING SLOW PROGRESS TOWARDS COAST. IN ADDITION...FOG/IR
IMAGERY INDICATING GRADUAL REDUCTION IN LOW STRATUS/FOG EXCEPT FOR
EXTREME SOUTHEAST CORNER AS UPPER CLOUD COVER WORKS INTO WESTERN
PORTIONS OF FCST AREA. EXPECT DECREASE IN STRATUS/FOG PROBLEM FOR
OVERNIGHT AS SOUTHERLY FLOW/TROUGH ENERGY WORK INTO REGION. MODELS
STILL HAVING ISSUES WITH PROGRESSION OF PRECIPITATION INTO REGION
AS WELL AS CONTINUED PROBLEMS WITH SPREAD OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE
TEMPS. HAVE MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CURRENT GRID PATTERNS
AND TIMING. LEFT WEAK POPS IN CENTRAL MTNS OVERNIGHT WHICH SEEM
REASONABLE GIVEN WEAK RADAR RETURNS IN NORTHEAST OREGON. GFS
REMAINS THE FASTER AND WETTER MODEL COMPARED TO THE
NAM THROUGH THURSDAY. GFS SPREADS PRECIP ACROSS SIGNIFICANT
PORTION OF EASTERN IDAHO BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH NAM HOLDING OFF
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT AND MUCH MORE SPARSE WITH
COVERAGE. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...GFS TRACKS SPLIT TROUGH AXIS TO
WESTERN IDAHO WHILE NAM BRINGS TROUGH AXIS SLIGHTLY ONSHORE ON A
ROUGHLY PORTLAND TO RENO LINE. SPLIT TROUGH SOLUTIONS TYPICALLY
DRY FOR MUCH OF EASTERN IDAHO SO HAVE KEPT LOWERED POPS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY ACROSS THE REGION. REGARDLESS OF EXACT
SOLUTION...ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE OVERALL
WEAK QPF AMOUNTS AND SNOW AMOUNTS WELL BELOW ANY HEADLINE CRITERIA
FOR ALL AREAS. DMH
LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE MODELS ARE
CONSISTENT WITH A RIDGE OVER EASTERN IDAHO ON FRIDAY. THIS WOULD
LIMIT ANY PRECIPITATION TO THE MOUNTAINS AND THE CHANCE WOULD BE
QUITE SMALL. BY LATER SATURDAY...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF ANOTHER MAJOR SYSTEM OFFSHORE. THEY ALSO
SHOW ANY WEAKER SYSTEM SPINNING OFF THIS TROF WILL PRODUCE LITTLE
PRECIPITATION AND SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE MOUNTAINS. BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD...THE GFS AND ECMWF DO BEGIN TO SHOW SOME DIFFERENCES.
THIS SHOWS UP MAINLY IN TERMS OF WHAT TO DO WITH THE NEXT WAVE
COMING IN FOR THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. THEY BOTH ARE TRENDING TOWARD
THIS ONE BEING WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS AND KEEPING A MUCH STRONGER
SYSTEM ALONG THE COAST. THEY ALSO SHOW A SPLIT WITH THE WAVE FOR
MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF IS BRINGING A LOT MORE MOISTURE WITH IT
THAN THE GFS. UNTIL A MORE CLEAR TREND APPEARS...THE FORECAST KEEPS
RAIN/SNOW CHANCES NEAR CLIMATOLOGY WHICH WILL FAVOR THE MOUNTAINS. KEYES
C
Colorado4fun
Well-known member
Utah is headded for one of the worst snow amounts in history this season.
This weather is a joke, maybe just maybe this will not be the #1 year for the least amount of snow.
That said until sno-tel reports at least 70+ inches in some Utah areas carnage will happen.
This weather is a joke, maybe just maybe this will not be the #1 year for the least amount of snow.
That said until sno-tel reports at least 70+ inches in some Utah areas carnage will happen.
So here are some totals for Alta Ski resort for the last few years.
Jan 11th 2005 364" had fallen. Good year. By April 30th 697" total
333" between Jan 11th to april
Jan 11th 2006 263" had fallen. Average year. By April 18th 637" Total
374" between Jan 11th to April
Jan 11th 2007 165" Had fallen. Crappy year. By April 23rd 401" Total
236" bewteen Jan 11th to April
Jan 11th 2008 299" Had fallen. Good year. By April 30th 701" Total
402" between Jan 11th to April
Jan 11th 2009 250" had fallen. Good year By April 26th 696" Total
446" Between Jan 11th to April
Jan 9th 2010 152" has fallen. Worst year so far.
At this rate this year Alta won't hit 400" by the end of April unless something drastic changes.
Time for some road trips out of state fellas.
Jan 11th 2005 364" had fallen. Good year. By April 30th 697" total
333" between Jan 11th to april
Jan 11th 2006 263" had fallen. Average year. By April 18th 637" Total
374" between Jan 11th to April
Jan 11th 2007 165" Had fallen. Crappy year. By April 23rd 401" Total
236" bewteen Jan 11th to April
Jan 11th 2008 299" Had fallen. Good year. By April 30th 701" Total
402" between Jan 11th to April
Jan 11th 2009 250" had fallen. Good year By April 26th 696" Total
446" Between Jan 11th to April
Jan 9th 2010 152" has fallen. Worst year so far.
At this rate this year Alta won't hit 400" by the end of April unless something drastic changes. Time for some road trips out of state fellas.
WOW it missed us again
http://www.accuweather.com/radar-la...&site=UT_&type=SIR&anim=1&level=state&large=1
http://www.accuweather.com/radar-la...&site=UT_&type=SIR&anim=1&level=state&large=1
next week's looking promising. on the 10 day outlook, it shows snow monday-thursday.
please please please start snowing monday and don't stop til all the trees are covered up, then give us a few days to set up then do it again.
I went to church with my wife last week and PASTOR, this week I'll be coming to visit yours.
my wife keeps making fun of my dancing, but it's gotta pay off sooner or later. even my 2 year old is doing the snow dance so he can ride the snow vroom vroom. (as he calls them)
please please please start snowing monday and don't stop til all the trees are covered up, then give us a few days to set up then do it again.
I went to church with my wife last week and PASTOR, this week I'll be coming to visit yours.
my wife keeps making fun of my dancing, but it's gotta pay off sooner or later. even my 2 year old is doing the snow dance so he can ride the snow vroom vroom. (as he calls them)
http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/USUT0126?from=today_daypartforecast_link weather tenday forcast in kamas utah who knows how accurate this is but looks like some good stormage if its true just what we need bring it on
R
randeeh
New member
Not as far as I've been. We can usually go where the road splits and ride through the hills, but not this year.
http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/USUT0126?from=today_daypartforecast_link weather tenday forcast in kamas utah who knows how accurate this is but looks like some good stormage if its true just what we need bring it on
Define: Snow Shower
10 days it could go poof but I hope you are wrong.Define: Snow Shower
didn't bother to pay attention to snow shower
. i just saw those snow flakes below clouds and thought snow but now just hope it turns into more than a shower. Snow shower- intermittent snow falling from a convective cloud.Similar threads
