I agree it's out there, but it is out there.
It would take a series of dominos all lined up.
1. triple digit inflation due to devalued dollar.
2. huge lay-offs
3. fuel prices at $10 - $20 / gal.
all of which we could weather... I think.
But, if you throw in an untimely 9/11 do over...
4. food shortages
5. stock market shuts down
6. banks shut down
Major cities would have rioting which could bleed out into suburbs.
7. majority of Police officers stay home to protect family
8. Firefighters and EMS do the same
9. Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines... same
I agree, it's out there. But...
I would rather prepare and be wrong, then be right and not prepared.
Same reason I carry concealed. Hope I never need it, but if I do, I have it.