check the avy forecast
this is the detailed forecast. the summary forecast is for high danger. i would think it is possible to get to extreme danger level in the next few days. check the nwac.org website daily
the avy danger is high. with the weather forecast i dont think it will lower in the next few days. it will increase slighly or could go to extreme before it settles back down to considerable or moderate. Please check the danger level daily.
read below
----- Original Message -----
From:
avi@sagestudio.com
Sent: Thursday, February 07, 2008 9:12 AM
Subject: [avalanchenwsabnw] Detailed mountain weather forecast -
http://www.nwac.us/products/SABNW
A change was detected in the following URL:
http://www.nwac.us/products/SABNW
The new file is included for your enjoyment
Special thanks to the Raynier Foundation for their generous financial support
of the Friends of the Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center.
MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE OLYMPICS WASHINGTON CASCADES
AND MT HOOD AREA
NORTHWEST WEATHER AND AVALANCHE CENTER SEATTLE WASHINGTON
730 AM PST THU FEB 7 2008
NWAC Program administered by:
USDA-Forest Service
with cooperative funding and support from:
Washington State Department of Transportation
National Weather Service
National Park Service
Washington State Parks and Recreation Commission
Pacific Northwest Ski Area Association
Friends of the Avalanche Center
and other private organizations.
This forecast is prepared primarily for federal, state and
private snow safety programs in Washington and Northern
Oregon.
WAZ513-518-519-019-042-501-502-ORZ011-081700-
&&
WEATHER SYNOPSIS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
A very strong cold front has moved across the Olympics near
midnight last night and crossed the Cascades early Thursday
morning. The front produced heavy precipitation at rising
freezing levels with brief rain or freezing rain reported at
Snoqualmie Pass early Thursday. A very strong westerly jet
stream also strengthened winds with the frontal passage with
several NWAC telemetry stations reporting gusts over 100 mph
early Thursday.
Freezing levels have begun to lower behind the front
Thursday morning with winds and precipitation gradually
decreasing. However, the strong and moist westerly flow
should maintain moderate to heavy orographic precipitation
along the typical west slope areas Thursday. The mid level
flow actually increases overnight Thursday and early Friday
morning. Coupled with abundant low level moisture, this
should maintain moderate to heavy precipitation over the
west slope areas of the Olympics, Cascades as well as the
over the volcanic peaks through mid morning Friday. This
flow pattern should also allow a convergence zone to form
overnight Thursday and early Friday to enhance precipitation
over the central Washington Cascades, centered on about
Stevens Pass.
Warm frontal moisture from the next approaching weather
system should cause increasing steady precipitation at
rising freezing levels Friday afternoon and night. The snow
level should rise above the Snoqualmie Pass level but remain
just below Stevens and White Pass Friday night.
&&
WEATHER FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
* OLYMPICS-
Thursday: Very windy with moderate to heavy snow showers
heaviest west slopes.
Thursday night: Continued very windy with moderate snow
showers heaviest west Olympics.
Friday: Light to moderate snow showers early.
Friday afternoon and night: Increasing moderate snow
becoming moderate to occasionally heavy rain or snow
late.
* WASHINGTON CASCADES NEAR AND WEST OF THE CREST-
* CASCADE PASSES, INCLUDING STEVENS, SNOQUALMIE AND WHITE
PASSES-
Thursday: Windy with moderate to heavy snow showers.
Thursday night: Moderate snow showers.
Friday morning: Moderate to heavy snow showers.
Friday afternoon: Decreasing light to moderate snow
showers.
Friday night: Increasing moderate rain or snow.
* EAST SLOPES WASHINGTON CASCADES-
Thursday: Windy with moderate snow showers especially
higher elevations.
Thursday night: Light to moderate snow showers especially
higher elevations.
Friday: Light to occasionally moderate snow showers and
windy.
Friday night: Increasing light to moderate rain or snow.
* MT HOOD AREA-
Thursday: Very windy with heavy snow showers.
Thursday night: Moderate snow showers.
Friday morning: Light to moderate snow showers.
Friday afternoon: Increasing light to moderate snow
showers.
Friday night: Increasing moderate rain or snow.
&&
SNOW LEVELS-CASCADE MTNS
1500 ft N, 3000 ft S Thu morn
1500 ft N, 2000 ft S Thu aft thru Fri morn
1500 ft N, 2500 ft C, 4000 ft S Fri aft
3500 ft N, 4000 ft C, 5000 ft S late Fri night
SNOW LEVELS-OLYMPIC MTNS
2000 ft Thu and Thu night
1500 ft Fri morn
3500 ft Fri aft
4000 ft Fri night
Cascade Snow/Freezing Levels refer to the northern Washington Cascades
(N) through Mt Hood area (S). Central Washington Cascade snow levels
(typically near Snoqualmie Pass) are normally midway between indicated N
and S levels. Note that surface snow/freezing levels are common near
the passes during easterly pass flow and may result in multiple
snow/freezing levels.
&&
24 HOUR FORECAST OF PRECIPITATION IN INCHES OF WATER
EQUIVALENT ENDING AT 4AM
FRI SAT
* HURRICANE RIDGE 1 .75
* MT BAKER 1-1.5 1
* WASHINGTON PASS .75-1 .75-1
* STEVENS PASS 1-1.5 1-1.5
* SNOQUALMIE PASS 1.5 1-1.5
* MISSION RIDGE .25-.5 .5
* CRYSTAL MTN .5-.75 .5-.75
* PARADISE 1 1
* WHITE PASS 1 .75
* MT HOOD 1-1.5 .75-1
&&
WINDS IN MILES PER HOUR (MPH)
* CASCADE PASS LEVEL WINDS
W 15-30 Thu morn with higher gusts
W 15-25 Thu aft thru Fri morn
W 10-20 Fri aft and night
* FREE WINDS AT 5000 FT
W 45-55 Thu
W 30-40 Thu aft and eve
W 35-50 Thu night and Fri morn
W 25-35 Fri mid day, strongest Mt Hood
W 20-30 Fri aft, W 35-45 Mt Hood
W-SW 10-20 N, W 20-30 C, W-NW 30-40 S Fri night
* FREE WINDS AT 9000 FT
W 50-70 Thu
W 40-60 Thu aft and night
W-NW 40-60 Fri thru Fri night
&&
EXTENDED WEATHER SYNOPSIS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Following a warm frontal passage Friday night most areas
should see decreasing precipitation during the day Saturday
as the warm front lifts northward. However freezing levels
should rise Saturday as strong southwest flow brings warmer
air over the area. The associated cold front is expected to
move across the Pacific Northwest Saturday night causing
increasing winds and rain or snow.
Orographic snowfall is expected Sunday at lowering freezing
levels.
Light to moderate snow showers should continue Sunday night
and decrease Monday as a ridge of high pressure moves across
the area.
The next front should bring renewed precipitation at rising
freezing levels late Monday night and early Tuesday.
EXTENDED FORECAST FOR SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Saturday morning: Moderate rain or snow.
Saturday afternoon: Decreasing light rain or snow, except
moderate north.
Saturday night: Increasing moderate to heavy rain or snow.
Sunday: Moderate orographic snow showers.
Sunday night: Light orographic snow showers.
Monday: Cloudy with occasional light snow showers.
Monday night: Increasing light to moderate rain or snow
late.
* SNOW LEVELS
35-4500 ft N, 45-6000 ft S Sat except
1-2000 ft N, 3-4000 ft S Sun and early Mon
3-4000 ft N, 4-6000 ft S late Mon and rising
NWAC weather data and forecasts are also available by calling
206-526-6677 for Washington, 503-808-2400 for the Mt Hood
area, or by visiting our Web site at
www.nwac.us.
Kramer/Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center
$$
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