2 MAJOR STORMS 29 MAR - 2 APR SAT-TUES
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MAMMOTHWEATER.COM SAYS 1-2 FEET IN TOWN BY END TUESDAY 1 APRIL
THIS IS NOT AN APRIL FOOLS JOKE !
Major Winter Storm headed for the Sierra Saturday into the Night….
Thursday March 27, 2014
Posted at 4:45 pm by Howard
.
Friday AM:
Brief Update:
Two Significant storms headed for the high country. Each has a good chance to bring about 2 feet over the crest and a foot+ to the Towns of Mammoth and June. More on these systems after my radio broadcast’s at Kmmt and KIBS between 7:45 and 8:10AM
——————————————————————————->>>>
Upper long wave reloading tomorrow, in back of a short wave upper ridge moving through California Friday for a dry day.
The Saturday afternoon and night system has changed considerably now. The screaming message here is that a significant development has shown up in the latest modeling that involves the coupling of both subtropical and polar jets off the California coast. This leads to the possibility of a tropical connection and pseudo atmospheric river event for mainly Northern CA and will include Central Ca, but for a shorter period. This moisture transport and 700-850MB moisture flux will range 3 times above standardized anomalies into Northern CA.
The Central Sierra will get plenty of heavy snow fall with this system, however, not to the excessive degree as the Northern Sierra. Will have a better handle on things in the morning as far as the QPF and the effects of this storm on the Mammoth area.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………………
.- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.ONHMCqNm.dpuf
THIS IS NOT AN APRIL FOOLS JOKE !
Major Winter Storm headed for the Sierra Saturday into the Night….
Thursday March 27, 2014
Posted at 4:45 pm by Howard
.
Friday AM:
Brief Update:
Two Significant storms headed for the high country. Each has a good chance to bring about 2 feet over the crest and a foot+ to the Towns of Mammoth and June. More on these systems after my radio broadcast’s at Kmmt and KIBS between 7:45 and 8:10AM
——————————————————————————->>>>
Upper long wave reloading tomorrow, in back of a short wave upper ridge moving through California Friday for a dry day.
The Saturday afternoon and night system has changed considerably now. The screaming message here is that a significant development has shown up in the latest modeling that involves the coupling of both subtropical and polar jets off the California coast. This leads to the possibility of a tropical connection and pseudo atmospheric river event for mainly Northern CA and will include Central Ca, but for a shorter period. This moisture transport and 700-850MB moisture flux will range 3 times above standardized anomalies into Northern CA.
The Central Sierra will get plenty of heavy snow fall with this system, however, not to the excessive degree as the Northern Sierra. Will have a better handle on things in the morning as far as the QPF and the effects of this storm on the Mammoth area.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………………
.- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.ONHMCqNm.dpuf
NORTH TAHOE AREA TO EUREKA TO SAN FRANCISO TO GET 7 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN NEXT 5 DAYS 29 MAR THRU 2 APR
Grand 7 day total estimates for now 26 MAR to 2 April FOR CALIFORNIA
NORTH Tahoe area is 9.9 inches H2O
Shasta 8 inches H2O
Oregon east 5.0 inches H2O
McCall ID north 4 inches H2O to 2 inches to BC
West Yellowstone 3 inches H2O
SLC 2-3 inches H2O
Colorado 1-2.5 inches H2O
Seattle area 5-6 inches H2O
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR I WOULD SUGGEST A SNOW / H2O RATIO OF 10-1
10 INCHES SNOW FOR ONE INCH OF H2O
TAHOE CASTLE PEAK and north expect 8 plus feet at the crest .... NOT including again not including UPSLOPE PREDICTIONS
UPSLOPE IS WHEN A SATURATED CLOUD HITS A MOUNTAIN RANGE AND DUMPS ITS MOISTURE
ELEVATION ... CHECK LOCAL FORECASTS
10 INCHES SNOW FOR ONE INCH OF H2O
TAHOE CASTLE PEAK and north expect 8 plus feet at the crest .... NOT including again not including UPSLOPE PREDICTIONS
UPSLOPE IS WHEN A SATURATED CLOUD HITS A MOUNTAIN RANGE AND DUMPS ITS MOISTURE
ELEVATION ... CHECK LOCAL FORECASTS
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml
don't GET TO SEE THE COLOR "BLACK" FOR WATER LEVELS IN A FORECAST BUT THERE IT IS
don't GET TO SEE THE COLOR "BLACK" FOR WATER LEVELS IN A FORECAST BUT THERE IT IS
Last edited:
Next storm starts tomorrow 1-2 feet of powder expected ... very fluffy stuff
15-1 to 17-1 ratio
mammoth below.
As one Storm exits…..The next is on the way for Monday and Tuesday……Platinum-Powder-Alert for Tuesday AM……Unsettled weather in the extended as well…..
Sunday March 30, 2014
Posted at 1:09 pm by Howard
.
Last night Storm got hung up over the Northern Sierra as a wave developed along the front delaying the precipitation by a good 6 hours. A good 6 hours translated to a good foot over snow that we missed as it fell well to the north of us. Finally, energy came in from the west, pushing the more dynamic part of the system through our area, early this morning. I have to say it; the CRFC did a fabulous job with the QPF as they obviously understood the storm better than most forecasters and Weather Dweebs, including myself.
Mondays storm….This is going to be another tough one, but much different than last nights. This system is very cold. >-25C at 500mb… -10 to -12 at 700mb. The moisture/and temperature for ice crystals developing in the dendritic growth zone 12,000 to 18000 in the SKEW-T Prog for Monday night with much colder temperatures should be ample for much higher Snow to Water Ratios. Ratios of 15 to 17:1 look pretty promising for Monday Night along the crest and so the Platinum-Snow-Alert for Tuesday Am looks good for you powder hounds……..(15+) inches in the Bowls….Take your fat boys for the first few hours……
The Dweeber……………
.- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.q3o4lc9j.dpuf
15-1 to 17-1 ratio
mammoth below.
As one Storm exits…..The next is on the way for Monday and Tuesday……Platinum-Powder-Alert for Tuesday AM……Unsettled weather in the extended as well…..
Sunday March 30, 2014
Posted at 1:09 pm by Howard
.
Last night Storm got hung up over the Northern Sierra as a wave developed along the front delaying the precipitation by a good 6 hours. A good 6 hours translated to a good foot over snow that we missed as it fell well to the north of us. Finally, energy came in from the west, pushing the more dynamic part of the system through our area, early this morning. I have to say it; the CRFC did a fabulous job with the QPF as they obviously understood the storm better than most forecasters and Weather Dweebs, including myself.
Mondays storm….This is going to be another tough one, but much different than last nights. This system is very cold. >-25C at 500mb… -10 to -12 at 700mb. The moisture/and temperature for ice crystals developing in the dendritic growth zone 12,000 to 18000 in the SKEW-T Prog for Monday night with much colder temperatures should be ample for much higher Snow to Water Ratios. Ratios of 15 to 17:1 look pretty promising for Monday Night along the crest and so the Platinum-Snow-Alert for Tuesday Am looks good for you powder hounds……..(15+) inches in the Bowls….Take your fat boys for the first few hours……
The Dweeber……………
.- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.q3o4lc9j.dpuf
Mammoth says up to a foot in town by WED and up to 2 feet at 9500 feet.
As one Storm exits…..The next is on the way for Monday and Tuesday……Platinum-Powder-Alert for Tuesday AM……Unsettled weather in the extended as well…..
Sunday March 30, 2014
Posted at 1:09 pm by Howard
.
Sunday 5:00PM
Snowfall
4 to 7 in town by 5:00 am Tuesday
Monday night….8 to 12 inches over upper elevations
Tuesday Am through Wednesday Night
3 to 6 in town….6 to 12 inches over upper elevations….
Short Term Tonopah Low may develop briefly early Wednesday AM (12Z) for a bit of a boost on precip for the T-O-M….
.- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.Op16KppN.dpuf
As one Storm exits…..The next is on the way for Monday and Tuesday……Platinum-Powder-Alert for Tuesday AM……Unsettled weather in the extended as well…..
Sunday March 30, 2014
Posted at 1:09 pm by Howard
.
Sunday 5:00PM
Snowfall
4 to 7 in town by 5:00 am Tuesday
Monday night….8 to 12 inches over upper elevations
Tuesday Am through Wednesday Night
3 to 6 in town….6 to 12 inches over upper elevations….
Short Term Tonopah Low may develop briefly early Wednesday AM (12Z) for a bit of a boost on precip for the T-O-M….
.- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.Op16KppN.dpuf
Next 18 hours 1-2 April about a foot of snow in California at 8000 plus feet ... very powdery snow.
Blue sky riding till Friday with slight chance of snow at 6500 feet ...
less than 3 inches accumulation.
High 40's day low 20's night at 6500 feet till Sunday
Starting 6 April Sunday above freezing temps at 7000 feet until the 10th where a WARM storm is predicted. Highs 60's lows mid 30's at 7000 feet
Blue sky riding till Friday with slight chance of snow at 6500 feet ...
less than 3 inches accumulation.
High 40's day low 20's night at 6500 feet till Sunday
Starting 6 April Sunday above freezing temps at 7000 feet until the 10th where a WARM storm is predicted. Highs 60's lows mid 30's at 7000 feet
Snow flurries on the Sierras Friday night 4/4 .... snow accumulation up to 3 inches to TAHOE
Shasta maybe up to 6 inches.. snow
NORTH Tahoe area is 0.35 inches H2O
Shasta 0.7 inches H2O
Oregon east 1 inches H2O
McCall ID north 2 inches H2O to 1.2 inches to BC
West Yellowstone 0.7 inches H2O
SLC 0.5 inches H2O
Colorado 0.75 inches H2O
Seattle area 2.5 inches H2O
Elko 0.34 in H20
IT is gonna get warm BECAUSE of high pressure ridges over ID NM UT
Los Angeles high temps in the 80's by Sunday & in the 90's by 8 April. Oakland in the 80's same time period.
CALI Mountain temps to be above freezing for 24 hours a day starting Monday 7 April at 7500 feet for at least 5 days
Shasta maybe up to 6 inches.. snow
NORTH Tahoe area is 0.35 inches H2O
Shasta 0.7 inches H2O
Oregon east 1 inches H2O
McCall ID north 2 inches H2O to 1.2 inches to BC
West Yellowstone 0.7 inches H2O
SLC 0.5 inches H2O
Colorado 0.75 inches H2O
Seattle area 2.5 inches H2O
Elko 0.34 in H20
IT is gonna get warm BECAUSE of high pressure ridges over ID NM UT
Los Angeles high temps in the 80's by Sunday & in the 90's by 8 April. Oakland in the 80's same time period.
CALI Mountain temps to be above freezing for 24 hours a day starting Monday 7 April at 7500 feet for at least 5 days
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