I'd venture that Doo decided to look at the supply chain from an optimistic standpoint when the announced the '23 lineup and delivery timeline. Not saying they just assumed everything would go back to pre Tear Down Better days, but most likely they took suppliers' estimates at face value, even though that's clearly optimistic. I don't have a crystal ball, but I do my best to follow actual economic data, and if you ignore the chaff, there is very little good news. I'd guess you'll probably get a '23 sled you ordered in time to ride, but it's going to be the same, or worse than what we saw last year.
Unfortunately, the way things are going, we'll probably see far fewer sleds built, the concept of a sled being built and delivered just in time to hit the new snow may disappear, and most of us will just have to accept riding what we've got longer. The idea of selling your current sled and banking on your order showing up on time is pretty silly at this point. If your budget is limited, you either have backup sled (something recent - guessing my 20-yr-old 600 wouldn't be acceptable for most riders), or you hold onto your current sled until the new one is delivered. And that probably means hanging on longer than you would have in years past.
I'm hoping between fuel and sled prices that people don't get priced out of the market, but even this spring it was starting to add up. If I head to Buck Creek, where I've done the most riding the last couple years, it's $120 to get there, plus another $50 to fill the sled. Not that it's something I can't afford, but just the amount I spend on fuel to ride is about as much as I spend on all other recreation combined (depending on how you count spending on cars, but even that's only a little more). Unfortunately, the growing problem I'm seeing is more one of when I'll be able to afford a new sled than when it'll arrive. Fuel costs are eating up money I could be saving for a new sled, and that new sled just gets more expensive. Just one perspective, and hopefully I'll be on better ground in five years, but I know I'm not the only one who's getting squeezed. The reality is, a lot of people have to sacrifice riding time, get more creative in where they ride, or will just leave the sport altogether. And sadly, the last option is too common already.