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Mortgage Rates Could Hit 4.5% on a 30-year Fixed!!!

Powderhound

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Treasury Department Considers Plan to Lower Mortgage Rates
Financial industry lobbyists are urging the Treasury Department to take steps to lower rates on 30-year mortgages to 4.5 percent.

AP

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

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powered by BaynoteWASHINGTON -- Financial industry lobbyists are urging the Treasury Department to take steps to lower mortgage rates and help stabilize the battered U.S. housing market.

Under one proposal, Treasury would seek to lower the rate on a 30-year mortgage to 4.5 percent by purchasing mortgage-backed securities from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Scott Talbott, chief lobbyist at the Financial Services Roundtable, said Wednesday.

If enacted, such a plan would be an unprecedented opportunity for anyone with good credit and a solid income who could qualify for a mortgage at the lowest rates on records dating to the early 1960s, said Keith Gumbinger, senior vice president at financial publisher HSH Associates.

"You would have the mother of all re-fi booms," said mortgage industry consultant Howard Glaser.

The goal of the industry's proposal would be to take advantage of the unusually large difference, or spread, between mortgage rates and yields on government debt. On Wednesday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note yield sank as low as 2.65 percent, while the national average rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgages was 5.75 percent, according to HSH Associates.

In recent years, there has been about a 1.8 percentage point difference between the yield on a 10-year Treasury note and a 30-year mortgage rate, but that spread currently hovers around 3 percentage points.

Analysts said that the government could use its ability to borrow money at low rates to in essence flood the market for mortgage-backed securities. This increased demand would tend to push down the yield on mortgage securities sold by Fannie and Freddie, which now average about 5.5 percent because of investor concerns about default risks. Once those yields fall, the theory goes, lower mortgage rates should follow.

That would have two benefits for the economy: Immediately adding money to the pocketbooks of homeowners who can refinance their mortgages and reduce their monthly payments, and eventually help arrest the slide in home prices since much lower mortgage rates would allow more potential buyers to qualify for loans.

"The goal is drive mortgage rates so low that home prices not only stop falling but begin to rebound," said Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

If the government does buy up mortgage securities, it would be similar to the effort announced last week by the Federal Reserve to purchase up to $500 billion of mortgage-backed securities from Fannie and Freddie. The two mortgage giants, which were seized by federal regulators in September, own or guarantee about half of the $11.5 trillion in U.S. outstanding home loan debt.

The Fed, however, did not announce a specific target for mortgage rates, which plunged about a half percentage point after the announcement.

That caused new mortgage applications to more than double last week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's weekly survey released Wednesday. Refinance volume more than tripled, and made up for nearly 70 percent of all applications.

Still, the industry plan is not likely to help borrowers whose credit is so damaged that banks don't want to lend to them.

"It doesn't do anything to help all the borrowers facing foreclosures," said Guy Cecala, publisher of Inside Mortgage Finance, a trade publication. "It's going to benefit the people who have equity in their home, who have decent credit and can refinance."

Treasury is considering several options, and could announce a decision as early as next week, industry sources said.

Treasury spokeswoman Brookly McLaughlin said she would not comment on speculation about actions the department may take in the future.

The proposal was reported Wednesday afternoon on The Wall Street Journal's Web site.
Treasury could make such a proposal as part of a request for the second $350 billion of the $700 billion financial rescue fund, industry sources said.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has been criticized by members of Congress for using the bailout money to shore up Wall Street banks, while not doing enough to help homeowners facing foreclosure.

In recent weeks, a diverse set of industry groups from real estate agents to carpet makers have called on lawmakers and the incoming administration of President-elect Barack Obama to subsidize lower mortgage rates and beef up tax credits to help stimulate housing demand.

The National Association of Realtors has been pushing a plan under which the federal government would spend $50 billion to lower mortgage rates. It says doing so would yield about 500,000 more home sales.

Meanwhile, the National Association of Home Builders is leading a new "Fix Housing First" coalition to push for aid to the ailing housing sector, including a tax credit of up to $22,000 for anyone who buys a home before the end of 2009.

Click here to read more in The Wall Street Journal.
 
Rates are at 5.125% today on 30-year money. If you live in the State of Idaho and have any questions on this give me a call, or pm me . I have been a Mortgage Broker for 10 years. This could be huge......

This is Just an FYI for my fellow snowesters ;)

208-221-5257
 
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It is not as hard as people think. If your credit is decent and can prove some income (none of the stated income ) You can buy a home, or refinance. I am currently doing a loan for a person with a 620 credit score putting 5% down and his rate is 5.375% THAT IS VERY GOOD
 
I told you oil would be under $60 3 months before is started to drop then in another thread people were saying the MTG rates would be going up and I said I think they will drop. RLG is 2 for 2:cool:











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Rates are at 5.125% today on 30-year money. If you live in the State of Idaho and have any questions on this give me a call, or pm me . I have been a Mortgage Broker for 10 years. This could be huge......

This is Just an FYI for my fellow snowesters ;)

208-221-5257

I just sent you a quick PM
 
hey good on ya for trying to help folks out.

BUT, this piszes me off. the banks are getting money at 1% and they still don't want to let us in on the pie. my wife and I have a killer score and I would like to do some improves on the farm, but I will be danged if I am gonna support a bank that is not happy making 2-3x their money. seriously the fed can't drop interest much more or it will be paying banks to take money. oh wait, they already did that:rolleyes:. I hope the gov't grabs back the friggen cash and tells them to have a nice day. greedy bastids. america used to be what you made of it, now it is all about who can screw up the most.....sad reality
 
You can get a 30 year loan for less than 5.5% today. This isn't going to help with affordability. Even if you borrow the max of $417k, your payments will only be $200 less per month.

How many people are only $200 a month away from buying a home? Not many. The problem is NOT interest rates, it is a climbing unemployment rate and wages that do not support an "entry-level home" When will we get it? Housing prices will continue to fall until jobs/wages are stabilized, not the other way around.
I think they proposed this for new home purchases only because the home builders need some help moving their bloated inventory of homes that nobody is buying.
 
You can get a 30 year loan for less than 5.5% today. This isn't going to help with affordability. Even if you borrow the max of $417k, your payments will only be $200 less per month.

How many people are only $200 a month away from buying a home? Not many. The problem is NOT interest rates, it is a climbing unemployment rate and wages that do not support an "entry-level home" When will we get it? Housing prices will continue to fall until jobs/wages are stabilized, not the other way around.
I think they proposed this for new home purchases only because the home builders need some help moving their bloated inventory of homes that nobody is buying.

That is probably true in your Market. That is not the case here where I live. Market appreciation is in the single digits , but it is not in the red. The markets are strong. And as far as $200.00 not meaning much, once again it has to do with a market. Here in Idaho it is the difference between 100,000.00 and about 125,000.00. Or it can mean a man keeps his sled and still is able to ride. It is very sad to say that people are running their monthly budgets this close, but many are. I see it every day. 2 to 3 hundred extra money each month makes a huge difference for some people.
 
That is probably true in your Market. That is not the case here where I live. Market appreciation is in the single digits , but it is not in the red. The markets are strong. And as far as $200.00 not meaning much, once again it has to do with a market. Here in Idaho it is the difference between 100,000.00 and about 125,000.00. Or it can mean a man keeps his sled and still is able to ride. It is very sad to say that people are running their monthly budgets this close, but many are. I see it every day. 2 to 3 hundred extra money each month makes a huge difference for some people.





Sad thing is if it drops the payment $200 they will just buy a bigger house and still be in the same boat, Some people you just can't help.





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what are the chances of seeing 4.5. countrywide said the 15 year is not droping at all.
 
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