First LONG RANGE forecast: Winter 2012-2013

[christopher]

Winter Outlook 2012-2013 Update July 26, 2012

http://www.liveweatherblogs.com/ind...wdiscussion&groupid=8&topicid=1122&Itemid=179

Ok so here is the breakdown of factors going into this winter. For an in depth look at your region go to the bottom of the blog. Ahhh Salt is a plenty from last winter from Chicago to Connecticut !

​

​

​

​

​

​

SO WHAT CAN WE EXPECT AT THIS POINT......​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

The chart above shows temperature departures for the winter ahead. This is an early call so a 4.0 is +4 above normal and a -4.0 is -4 below normal.​

​

​

THE GOOD STUFF...SNOWFALL 2012-2013​

​

​

The chart above is the departure for precipitation. So 10.0 is +10" above normal for the winter ahead. -10.0 would be 10" below normal so the Pacific Northwest looks to have a drier than normal winter and the Southeast a wet winter. ​

​

​

 

[christopher]

http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com/p/updated-2012-2013-preliminary-winter.html

All of that said, here is my forecast for winter 2012-2013.

​

-Weak to Moderate El Nino will be here for winter.
-Cool temperatures have the potential to take the eastern US by storm this winter.
-Precipitation could be on the below normal side in the Ohio Valley, but that is not for sure just yet. A weak El Nino can bring above average precipitation to the eastern US, while a stronger Nino does not.
-Considering we may be heading into an El Nino, I am liking the idea that the South US and East Coast will get above normal precipitation. Yes, that means more snow for the East Coast.
-Cold shots ought to reach across much of the Eastern US, so some crops in the Southeast may be at risk.

Thank you so much for reading.
Andrew​

 

[christopher]

http://www.farmersalmanac.com/forum/2012/07/23/new-official-2012-2013-united-states-winter-forecast/
New Official 2012-2013 United States Winter Forecast

 

[Jeff C]

All I know is that last winter you "jinxed" us with a forecast of good snow.

Dont do it again!!,,, LOL

 

[←snow∞motion→]

All I know is that last winter you "jinxed" us with a forecast of good snow.

Dont do it again!!,,, LOL

I was going to say the same thing!! You got to it too fast Jeff.

 

[christopher]

All I know is that last winter you "jinxed" us with a forecast of good snow.

Dont do it again!!,,, LOL

I see how it is...

Shoot the messenger!


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk HD

 

[Hardass]

Very north west corner of Mt we had a great year as we will next year never fails sooner or later

 

[christopher]

All we can do is hope and pray for some MOISTURE this winter.

 

[paulharris]

el nino is forming, not good news for snowfall in northwestern states. Good for southwest tho....arizona peeps get your sleds ready!

 

[christopher]

Sledding in Arizona.
Is there no justice in the world.!!

 

[NorthMNSledder]

Last winter looked good for the midwest and then we had no snow all winter. So I'm looking at these. Ask me in June how the winter was and I'll give you a good Idea what is WAS like.

 

[PJ-Hunter]

All I know is that last winter you "jinxed" us with a forecast of good snow.

Dont do it again!!,,, LOL

Yeah. No effing kidding. You predicted an epic winter and it was the worst in Colorado History.