Farmer's Almanac predicts Snowfall ABOVE normal in North.

[christopher]

http://www.almanac.com/weatherforecast/us/13

Detailed 2009 Long-Range Forecast
for the Intermountain Region</B>​

Includes predictions for all or portions of Arizona (Flagstaff, Kayenta, Page, Tuba City, Winslow), California (Cedarville, Davis Creek, Eagleville, Fort Bidwell, Lake City), Colorado (Aurora, Colorado Springs, Denver, Fort Collins, Lakewood), Idaho (Boise, Idaho Falls, Meridian, Nampa, Pocatello), Montana (Bozeman, Butte, Helena, Kalispell, Missoula), Nevada (Carson City, Elko, Reno, Sparks, Sun Valley), New Mexico (Angel Fire, Chama, Dulce, Questa, Springer), Oregon (Hermiston, La Grande, Ontario, Pendleton, The Dalles), Utah (Ogden, Orem, Provo, Salt Lake City, West Valley City), Washington (Kennewick, Pasco, Richland, Spokane, Yakima), Wyoming (Casper, Evanston, Green River, Laramie, Rock Springs).

Winter will be much colder and drier than normal, on average, with snowfall above normal in the north and below normal in the south. The coldest temperatures will occur in late December; early, mid-, and late January; and early February. The snowiest periods will be in mid-November, early and mid-December, mid- and late January, and late February.

April and May will be cooler than normal, with slightly above-normal precipitation.

Summer will be cooler than normal, with slightly above-normal rainfall. The hottest periods will be in mid- and late June and early and mid- to late July.
September and October will be warmer and drier than normal.

 

[boondocking fool]

awesome news , thanks for the post , now if you can get it here earlier , then you will really rock......................

 

[sledmanhof]

i like that prediction....is it november yet

 

[christopher]

[FONT=Verdana,arial,serif]Seasonal Forecast Discussion[/FONT] http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html

PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR LONG-LEAD SEASONAL OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
830 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009 ​

SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS ​

TEMPERATURE: ​

THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR ASO 2009 FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE SOUTH FROM THE CONSOLIDATION FORECAST TOOL. THIS AREA IS MOSTLY DUE TO
RECENT TEMPERATURE TRENDS. TO ITS NORTH THE UPWARD TREND IS NEGATED BY SMLR,
THE CFS AND ENSO COMPOSITES. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE INDICATED IN A SWATH
FROM SOUTH DAKOTA TO ILLINOIS BY A NUMBER OF FORECAST TOOLS. THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES INDICATED ON LAST MONTHS OUTLOOK FOR ASO IN NEW ENGLAND HAVE BEEN
REDUCED DUE TO CONTRADICTING INDICATIONS FROM THE CFS. ​

THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS FOR SON2009 THROUGH MAM2010 ARE MAINLY BASED ON THE
CON FORECAST AND ENSO COMPOSITES. THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST WAS REVISED FROM
LAST MONTHS FORECASTS FOR THE CORRESPONDING SEASONS MAINLY DUE TO INCREASED
CONFIDENCE THAT EL NINO WILL INFLUENCE THE WINTERTIME CIRCULATION.
TEMPERATURES IN EL NINO WINTERS TEND TO BE BELOW NORMAL OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN CONUS, PARTIALLY COUNTERACTING TRENDS FOR WARMER WINTER TEMPERATURES
IN THE SOUTHWEST, AND ENTIRELY COUNTERACTING TRENDS IN THE SOUTHEAST WHERE WE
ISSUE OUTLOOKS OF ENHANCED PROBABILITY FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN DJF AND
FMA. CONFIDENCE IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS AND
IN ALASKA IS INCREASED DUE TO ENSO TELECONNECTIONS. ​

REMAINING FORECAST LEADS FROM AMJ 2010 THROUGH ASO 2010 ARE BASED ON THE
CONSOLIDATION FORECAST AND LARGELY REFLECT TEMPERATURE TRENDS. ​

PRECIPITATION: ​

THE PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS FOR ASO2009 ARE BASED PRIMARILY ON THE CONSOLIDATION
FORECAST, AND INDICATE INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKY MOUNTAINS AND THE SOUTHWEST, BASED MOSTLY ON
FORECASTS FROM THE CFS AND ENSO COMPOSITES. A TREND-RELATED DRY FORECAST IS
INDICATED FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. TRENDS INDICATE ENHANCED PROBABILITY FOR
ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IN FLORIDA. ​

EL NINO PRECIPITATION COMPOSITES WERE USED TOGETHER WITH THE CFS FORECAST FROM
OND 2009 THROUGH MAM 2010. THESE INDICATE INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION FOR THE SOUTHERN CONUS, BEGINNING IN CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE
REGION IN OND, EXPANDING TO MAXIMUM COVERAGE IN LATE WINTER, AND THEN
DIMINISHING IN AREA BY MAM. RELATIVE TO THE SET OF FORECASTS ISSUED A MONTH
AGO WE EXPANDED THE AREAL EXTENT SOMEWHAT. BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IS
FAVORED IN EL NINO WINTERS FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND PARTS OF THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEYS. THERE ARE NO CLEAR SIGNALS FOR PRECIPITATION FROM AMJ
TO MJJ 2010, RESULTING IN A FORECAST FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR BELOW, NEAR, OR
ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS NATIONWIDE. A TREND-RELATED SIGNAL FOR
ENHANCED CHANCES OF BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, AND
ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION FOR FLORIDA APPEARS IN THE OUTLOOK FOR JJA 2010 AND
BEYOND. ​

VERY FEW RELIABLE INDICATIONS WERE FOUND FOR PRECIPITATION IN AK. EXCEPT FOR
TRENDS INDICATING ABOVE MEDIAN IN NORTHERN ALASKA IN NDJ AND DJF WE HAVE EC
THROUGHOUT. ​

NOTE - AREAS OF UNCERTAINTY THAT FORMERLY WERE LABELED CL (CLIMATOLOGICAL
PROBABILITIES) ARE NOW LABELED EC (EQUAL CHANCES). ​

FORECASTER: HUUG VAN DEN DOOL ​

FOR A DESCRIPTION OF OF THE STANDARD FORECAST TOOLS - THEIR SKILL- AND THE
FORECAST FORMAT PLEASE SEE OUR WEB PAGE AT
HTTP:/WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/90DAY/DISC.HTML
(USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) ​

INFORMATION ON THE FORMATION OF SKILL OF THE CAS FORECASTS MAY BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/SOILMST/FORECASTS.HTML (USE LOWERCASE LETTERS) ​

NOTES - THESE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS ARE INTENDED FOR USE PRIOR TO THE START OF THEIR
VALID PERIOD. WITHIN ANY GIVEN VALID PERIOD OBSERVATIONS AND SHORT AND MEDIUM
RANGE FORECASTS SHOULD BE CONSULTED. ​

THIS SET OF OUTLOOKS WILL BE SUPERSEDED BY THE ISSUANCE OF THE NEW SET NEXT
MONTH ON THU AUG 20 2009 ​

1971-2000 BASE PERIOD MEANS WERE IMPLEMENTED EFFECTIVE WITH THE MAY 17, 2001
FORECAST RELEASE. ​

$$ ​

 

[christopher]

awesome news , thanks for the post , now if you can get it here earlier , then you will really rock......................

Snow Chant
r. baumgartner


North, South, East, West
Snow's the stuff we love the best.
Bring it fast, cold and white
And PLEASE...bring a LOT...
Tonight!!!

Special Notes:
Written in 1990 by Richard Baumgartner, then a second grade teacher at Cub Run Elementary School in Fairfax County, Virginia, this snow chant has been proven to be 100% effective at creating snow (when conditions are close to being snow-producing). Former Cub Run second graders (who are now graduates of Chantilly or Centreville High Schools) performed this chant correctly but without supervision and were largely responsible for the record-setting snows of 1995-1996.

To be performed correctly, an individual must face north at 7 p.m. and recite the chant with arms extended WEST and EAST. The chant is recited three times, between each recitation the individual slowly rotates westerly (with arms still extended) and, upon arriving at the north-facing starting position, jumps up in the air, raises a clenched fist and yells SNOW! Ocean moisture (represented by the right hand to the east), mixes with the cold of the north and west and moves in over us.


CONSEQUENCES OF IMPROPERLY PERFORMED SNOW CHANT include, but are not limited to:

1. Rain...particularly if the individual faces south when reciting
2. Light snow...caused by not enough 7 p.m. participation
3. Light snow accompanied by high winds...caused by too quick a rotation
4. Sleet...too many participants facing south at 7 p.m.
5. Clouds...not enough participants grabbed moisture from the east
6. School

 

[deboer]

will what about IOWA

 

[jsledder]

I was out in the desert of SD last week, Bison/Faith area, and it's normally nothing but brown grass and weeds, this year it looks better than some parts of the eastern part of the state. Had lunch with a few guys at the cafe and they all agree'd that with as much hay as they've already put up this year we could be in for a hard winter.

Global warming seemed to come up a lot. "thank god for global warming"... They say over night lows in the 30's out there that night.

 

[christopher]

will what about IOWA

Sorry Doo-Man, I didn't look that far back East.

Let me go take a look and see what they have to say.

=================

Includes predictions for all or portions of Illinois (Alton, Galesburg, Moline, Quincy, Rock Island), Iowa (Cedar Rapids, Davenport, Des Moines, Sioux City, Waterloo), Kansas (Kansas City, Olathe, Overland Park, Topeka, Wichita), Missouri (Columbia, Independence, Kansas City, Saint Louis, Springfield), Nebraska (Bellevue, Fremont, Grand Island, Lincoln, Omaha), South Dakota (Canton, Lennox, North Sioux City, Vermillion, Yankton), Wisconsin (Baraboo, Fitchburg, Madison, Middleton, Monroe).

Winter temperatures will be slightly below normal, on average, in the north and above normal in the south. Expect record cold in the first half of December, with other cold periods in early and mid-January and mid-February. Snowfall will be below normal in the north and above normal in the south, with the snowiest periods in early December, early January, early February, and early March.
September and October will have below-normal rainfall and near-normal temperatures.

 

[whittaker727]

Colder and drier in the north doesn't help. We need colder and more moisture.

 

[polaris dude]

snowdance anyone?

 

[teammugad]

This forecast was for last winter. If you look at the dates it is for Nov. 2008 thru Oct. 2009. Sorry guys, I don't think they have next years winter forecast yet.

 

[christopher]

This forecast was for last winter. If you look at the dates it is for Nov. 2008 thru Oct. 2009. Sorry guys, I don't think they have next years winter forecast yet.

SHOOT ME.
I totally missed that.
Let me see if I can get the correct one.

 

[minet]

OK that was last years ,, how did it pan out then? id say it was waaaay off ,, 08-09 season was poor imo

 

[minet]

did farmers alminac get your forcast right last year? ,,might tell ya if they are worth listening to this year