2+ feet snow storm 29-31 Jan FRI - SUN

[donbrown]

75% chance of big storm 29-31 Jan FRI - SUN



estimated today over 2 feet Truckee to Kern

Storm to start warm about a foot every 24 hours then end of cycle to do another inch of water.

Will estimate elevation closer to storm ... right now snow to 5000 feet ... Truckee to Kernville!

Truckee inch of rain then a foot of snow ! Start in the 40F end in the 20F range

 

[donbrown]

Kern 75%
mammoth 80%
Truckee 90% chance going to get a dumping



Truckee estimated higher 1.5 inches rain then 2 days 6-12 inches each day.

Mammoth a foot

Kern estimates lower only a foot

 

[volcano buster]

What does your 10-day for N. Cali look like?

 

[donbrown]

What does your 10-day for N. Cali look like?

Around ETNA CALI ... 2 inches water 28-29 Jan with snow around 6000 feet then snow flurries thru the 4th , daily till?

 

[donbrown]

What does your 10-day for N. Cali look like?

First there is an evil high pressure system hanging off the coast of Cali by San Diego and weather computers cant quite figure out the path it leaves when a low pressure enters the Pacific Coast

There are 2 major weather computers in the world ... and a big staff down under

US forecast

European forecast

US Forecast says its gonna dump many feet this weekend 4-5 plus feet from Mammoth Lakes thru Oregon

European forecast model says 1-3 feet

European model has been more accurate this year.

 

[donbrown]

Storms for weekend are gonna dump a lot fast ... It is estimated if slow up and take three days instead of 2 days could dump 50% more

Mammoth a 100 % chance a foot in town maybe more ... 50% chance storm slows and dumps more

Truckee 100% chance 2.5 inches rain 6k feet then 2 days 30th and 31st sat sun 6-12 inches snow 6000 feet.

Kern estimates 80% chance 1.75 inches rain at 4000 feet

Stayton Oregon 500 feet elevation Rain now to 6 feb 8 days snow Sun-Mon 100% chance 1.5 inches rain and a 75% chance another 1.5 inches rain same 8 days

Etna CA 3000 feet near Shasta 100% chance 2 inches rain 30-31st next storm 2-4 feb 1/2 inch rain

 

[donbrown]

Mammoth seems to be the center for forecasting

Mammoth estimates the same.

South Mammoth H2O estimates DECREASING ... Kern Tulare Los Angeles

North of Mammoth Truckee ... H2O estimates INCREASING

 

[donbrown]

Snow levels high Friday ... 8500-9000 feet

Truckee area going to have a 3 plus foot ... 3 plus inches rain Friday ! Snow Sat - Sun 3-6 inches at 6000 feet snowing to 3000 feet

Mammoth town 1.5 inches rain Friday 8000 feet turn to snow SAT-SUN 6in to a foot

It may snow ALL day SUNDAY with light snow to 3000 feet for most of Sierras ! 1-3 inches up and down the HWY 395 at 3000 feet

 

[donbrown]

Everything going correct for achieving snow estimates. Foot plus at 6000 feet and 2 plus feet at 8000 feet or more

Storm to end 1 Feb Monday morning.

Snowing tonight to 3000 feet with few inches accumulation expected around 3500 - 4000 feet.

Stay cold to Wednesday then blue sky warming / riding next weekend 4-6 February. Highs 45 at 6000 feet next sat - sun

No more storms in 10 day forecast

 

[donbrown]

Right now 7PM Sunday 31 jan snowing lots of places at 3000 feet ...

MEXICO
SAN DIEGO AREA
LOS ANGELES
Santa Barbara
Gorman
San Jose
Las Vega
Reno

and of course the SIERRAS ... RUBIES too !